NOSTRADAMUS · AUDITCONTROLLED LEARNING STATUS
Loading immutable records
NO-GO
Every official resolution contributes a new prediction-error signal. Before a future cycle forecast, Nostradamus recomputes a bounded local correction using only outcomes that were already finalized, weights similar market setups more heavily, and shrinks the adjustment toward the live market prior to resist overfitting.
LIVE LEARNING MODEL
OFFICIAL SAMPLES—
MODEL STATUS—
50/50 CORRECTION—
Loading point-in-time learning controls.
V1–V7 RESEARCH MEMORY
The complete recovered research archive is now durable. Exchange-labeled experiments supply confidence guards and feature hypotheses only; official Polymarket outcomes remain the sole source for scored performance and probability calibration.
RECOVERED ROWS—
5M POST-MORTEMS—
MIDCYCLE READS—
SHORT-HORIZON TRIALS—
| VERSION | RECORDED LESSON |
|---|---|
| Loading version memory. | |
RECOVERED RESEARCH GUARDSCONFIDENCE DISCIPLINE ACTIVE
Loading recovered lessons.
OFFICIAL WIN / LOSS INVESTIGATIONS
| CYCLE | RESULT | REGIME | DIAGNOSIS | PROCESS | LESSON |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Official post-result investigations will appear as finalized outcomes are synchronized. | |||||
BEST WIN STREAK—
BEST LOSS STREAK—
RESOLVED CALLS—
PAPER PREDICTION HISTORY
| CYCLE | CALL | CONFIDENCE | OFFICIAL OUTCOME | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No paper predictions yet. The first verified live cycle will appear here. | ||||
IMMUTABLE EVENT LOG
Legacy diagnostic: — exchange-labeled cycles, —% internal accuracy. These records are quarantined and cannot train or calibrate the official model.
| TYPE | CYCLE | ACTION | HEALTH | OUTCOME | HASH CHAIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No official records yet. Start the collector and load a verified cycle. | |||||